Oskar Sundqvist vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sundqvist wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Sundqvist 46.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (-3.0%)
H2H factor Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 66.3%
Defensive zone Sundqvist 56.6%
Neutral zone Nugent-Hopkins 58.8%
Result Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Sundqvist Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 2 (5 meetings)
3
2
Sundqvist Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Sundqvist 3-2 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Sundqvist Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
0
Sundqvist Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
0
Sundqvist Nugent-Hopkins
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Sundqvist
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (500)
50.3% (479)
-5.3%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
50.0% (28)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (50)
30.0% (50)
+16.0%
On penalty kill, Sundqvist has a +16.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Sundqvist shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
45.5% (255)
48.9% (270)
Away
45.4% (317)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Sundqvist
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
40.9%
48.7%
P2
46.9%
50.0%
P3
48.4%
47.3%
OT
66.7%
36.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
43.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%
49.5%
45.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%
46.5%
48.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 4, 2025 3 13:09 Offensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Feb 4, 2025 2 11:49 Offensive Oskar Sundqvist
Feb 4, 2025 1 17:53 Offensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Feb 4, 2025 1 14:38 Neutral Oskar Sundqvist
Dec 7, 2024 3 15:04 Defensive Oskar Sundqvist