Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sundqvist wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 47.6% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 59.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 63.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 62.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Sundqvist
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sundqvist
Kuraly
Last 5: Sundqvist 3-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
3
1
Sundqvist
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Sundqvist
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (301)
52.6% (464)
-5.8%
Power Play
80.0% (10)
100.0% (1)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
46.5% (155)
-3.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Sundqvist is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Sundqvist shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Kuraly
Home
46.0% (189)
55.9% (322)
Away
47.8% (207)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Sundqvist
Kuraly
P1
44.7%
55.9%
P2
47.6%
46.7%
P3
48.6%
50.7%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |