Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sundqvist wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 47.6% vs Monahan 52.5% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 74.5%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 75.6%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 50.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Sundqvist
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Sundqvist
Monahan
Last 8: Sundqvist 4-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Sundqvist
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
3
0
Sundqvist
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (301)
53.0% (874)
-6.2%
Power Play
80.0% (10)
54.7% (161)
+25.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
47.5% (101)
-4.0%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Sundqvist is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Sundqvist shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Monahan
Home
46.0% (189)
53.8% (558)
Away
47.8% (207)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Sundqvist
Monahan
P1
44.7%
49.5%
P2
47.6%
54.8%
P3
48.6%
52.8%
OT
100.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |