Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sundqvist wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 44.3% vs Nosek 53.6% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nosek 53.1%
Defensive zone
Nosek 55.1%
Neutral zone
Nosek 52.9%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Sundqvist
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Sundqvist
Nosek
Last 10: Sundqvist 5-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Sundqvist
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
0
Sundqvist
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Sundqvist
Nosek
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (2,842)
54.9% (2,710)
-10.7%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
45.8% (48)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (385)
47.2% (428)
-5.6%
On even strength, Nosek has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,379).
Sundqvist shoots right. Nosek is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Nosek
Home
44.2% (1,584)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
44.0% (1,741)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Sundqvist
Nosek
P1
42.8%
52.2%
P2
45.6%
54.1%
P3
43.7%
54.7%
OT
60.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 13:24 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:45 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 10:40 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 2 | 05:45 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |