Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sundqvist wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 44.3% vs Bozak 53.4% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 63.5%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 77.9%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 73.9%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Sundqvist
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sundqvist
Bozak
Last 5: Sundqvist 1-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sundqvist
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Sundqvist
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (2,825)
53.7% (9,596)
-9.5%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
55.2% (1,990)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (371)
48.0% (1,094)
-6.5%
On even strength, Bozak has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Sundqvist is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (944).
Sundqvist shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Bozak
Home
44.1% (1,580)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
44.1% (1,714)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Sundqvist
Bozak
P1
42.7%
53.2%
P2
45.6%
52.8%
P3
43.8%
54.5%
OT
55.6%
52.9%
Final 5 min
45.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 14:52 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |