Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 48.8% vs Aho 51.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 63.1%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 91.0%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 73.9%
Result
Par Lindholm favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Lindholm
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lindholm
Aho
Last 5: Lindholm 1-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Lindholm
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Lindholm
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (510)
50.2% (6,646)
-0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
58.9% (1,310)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (178)
46.5% (465)
-1.0%
On power play, Aho has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Lindholm is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Lindholm shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Aho
Home
49.4% (346)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
47.7% (354)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Lindholm
Aho
P1
42.2%
51.1%
P2
51.0%
52.1%
P3
51.9%
50.8%
Final 5 min
46.8%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
42.0%▼
45.5%
48.6%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 13:31 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |