Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.7% vs Strome 44.6% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 87.3%
Defensive zone
Strome 61.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 63.8%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Kelly
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kelly
Strome
Last 6: Kelly 5-1 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
0
Kelly
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (758)
44.2% (6,887)
-2.2%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
49.2% (855)
-49.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (174)
41.5% (410)
-4.7%
On power play, Strome has a +49.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Kelly is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Kelly shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Home / Away
Kelly
Strome
Home
42.4% (476)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
39.2% (459)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Kelly
Strome
P1
42.3%
43.9%
P2
44.7%
45.4%
P3
35.6%
44.4%
OT
50.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
35.8%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:26 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |