Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 37.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.4% vs Crosby 55.1% (-19.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 52.6%
Defensive zone
Kelly 73.4%
Neutral zone
Kelly 66.6%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Kelly
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kelly
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Kelly
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Kelly
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (159)
53.3% (1,025)
-16.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
64.7% (249)
-64.7%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
60.0% (15)
-21.5%
On power play, Crosby has a +64.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kelly is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Kelly shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Kelly
Crosby
Home
35.4% (79)
56.9% (675)
Away
37.2% (94)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Kelly
Crosby
P1
33.8%
55.1%
P2
36.5%
53.1%
P3
39.6%
58.5%
Final 5 min
37.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.4%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 04:01 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |