Scouting Report
Tyson Jost holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 37.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.4% vs Jost 44.8% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Jost 52.5%
Defensive zone
Kelly 53.0%
Neutral zone
Kelly 51.6%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Kelly
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (159)
39.5% (86)
-3.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
42.9% (7)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Jost has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Kelly is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Kelly shoots left. Jost is 34.4% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Kelly
Jost
Home
35.4% (79)
38.9% (54)
Away
37.2% (94)
40.0% (40)
By Period
Kelly
Jost
P1
33.8%
42.4%
P2
36.5%
37.8%
P3
39.6%
37.5%
Final 5 min
37.8%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.4%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.4%