Scouting Report
Yakov Trenin holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.7% vs Trenin 43.7% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Trenin 58.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 62.8%
Neutral zone
Kelly 50.3%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Kelly
Trenin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (758)
43.0% (356)
-1.0%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
33.3% (6)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (174)
41.0% (105)
-4.2%
On power play, Trenin has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Kelly is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Kelly shoots left. Trenin is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Kelly
Trenin
Home
42.4% (476)
45.6% (248)
Away
39.2% (459)
38.8% (219)
By Period
Kelly
Trenin
P1
42.3%
42.7%
P2
44.7%
47.7%
P3
35.6%
35.2%
Final 5 min
35.8%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%
Trenin
44.0%▲
40.5%
42.4%