Scouting Report
Yakov Trenin holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 37.3% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.4% vs Trenin 44.8% (-3.8%)
Offensive zone
Trenin 51.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 51.6%
Neutral zone
Kelly 53.8%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Kelly
Trenin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (159)
40.7% (91)
-4.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
40.0% (20)
-1.5%
On even strength, Trenin has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Kelly is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Kelly shoots left. Trenin is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Kelly
Trenin
Home
35.4% (79)
45.5% (55)
Away
37.2% (94)
35.1% (57)
By Period
Kelly
Trenin
P1
33.8%
40.4%
P2
36.5%
38.7%
P3
39.6%
41.4%
Final 5 min
37.8%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.4%
Trenin
44.0%▲
40.5%
40.2%