Parker Kelly vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 37.3% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.4% vs Girgensons 46.8% (-8.8%)
Offensive zone
Kelly 62.6%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 66.7%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 52.7%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Kelly
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (159)
45.1% (164)
-8.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
45.2% (31)
-6.7%
On power play, Girgensons has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Kelly is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Kelly shoots left. Girgensons is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Kelly
Girgensons
Home
35.4% (79)
44.6% (92)
Away
37.2% (94)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Kelly
Girgensons
P1
33.8%
44.2%
P2
36.5%
46.0%
P3
39.6%
45.1%
Final 5 min
37.8%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.4%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.2%