Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Bergeron wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 60.5% vs Strome 44.4% (+17.3%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 66.8%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 73.2%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 66.3%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Bergeron
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Bergeron
Strome
Last 10: Bergeron 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
3
Bergeron
Strome
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
2
Bergeron
Strome
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
2
Bergeron
Strome
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (1,109)
43.0% (788)
+19.5%
Power Play
62.2% (352)
47.9% (96)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (245)
50.0% (34)
+3.5%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Bergeron is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Bergeron shoots right. Strome is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Strome
Home
61.9% (917)
42.6% (486)
Away
60.2% (789)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Bergeron
Strome
P1
60.8%
41.0%
P2
60.3%
47.8%
P3
63.0%
42.1%
OT
51.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 12:39 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:54 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 18:44 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 16:55 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 20, 2022 | OT | 04:50 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 20, 2022 | OT | 03:09 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 20, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:51 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 02:31 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |