Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Bergeron wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.2% vs Steel 50.2% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 59.6%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 58.7%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 55.8%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Bergeron
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Bergeron
Steel
Last 10: Bergeron 6-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
6
0
Bergeron
Steel
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
7
Bergeron
Steel
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
60.1% (13,938)
50.5% (2,871)
+9.6%
Power Play
60.8% (3,213)
62.6% (179)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (2,776)
37.8% (246)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Bergeron shoots right. Steel is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,229).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Steel
Home
61.2% (10,028)
50.0% (1,551)
Away
57.3% (9,930)
50.3% (1,745)
By Period
Bergeron
Steel
P1
59.3%
51.9%
P2
60.0%
49.5%
P3
58.6%
49.5%
OT
57.9%
41.9%
Final 5 min
58.9%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 01:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:12 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 01:57 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |