Patrice Bergeron vs Sebastian Aho
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Bergeron wins 63.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 60.5% vs Aho 51.2% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 65.6%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 55.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 51.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Bergeron
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Bergeron
Aho
Last 10: Bergeron 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bergeron
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
4
Bergeron
Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bergeron
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (1,109)
48.5% (778)
+14.0%
Power Play
62.2% (352)
63.4% (191)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (245)
50.8% (65)
+2.7%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Bergeron shoots right. Aho is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Aho
Home
61.9% (917)
51.3% (530)
Away
60.2% (789)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Bergeron
Aho
P1
60.8%
50.0%
P2
60.3%
51.3%
P3
63.0%
52.1%
OT
51.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:31 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |