Patrice Bergeron vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 28 meetings). Bergeron wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.2% vs Hertl 54.3% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 42-32 in 74 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 76.3%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 86.9%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 85.9%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Bergeron
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
32
(74 meetings)
42
32
Bergeron
Hertl
Last 10: Bergeron 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
15
13
Bergeron
Hertl
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
17
11
Bergeron
Hertl
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
10
8
Bergeron
Hertl
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
60.1% (13,938)
53.9% (8,303)
+6.2%
Power Play
60.8% (3,213)
59.2% (1,995)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (2,776)
46.3% (806)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Bergeron shoots right. Hertl is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,142).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Hertl
Home
61.2% (10,028)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
57.3% (9,930)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Bergeron
Hertl
P1
59.3%
53.6%
P2
60.0%
54.2%
P3
58.6%
55.3%
OT
57.9%
46.9%
Final 5 min
58.9%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 09:49 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:42 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |