Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brown wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 54.6% vs Monahan 51.2% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 69.8%
Defensive zone
Brown 91.8%
Neutral zone
Brown 69.5%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Brown
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Brown
Monahan
Last 7: Brown 5-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Brown
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
3
0
Brown
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
1
0
Brown
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (726)
51.1% (11,407)
+5.4%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
53.6% (2,582)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (136)
45.9% (772)
+1.9%
On power play, Brown has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Brown is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Brown shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Brown
Monahan
Home
57.4% (364)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
53.6% (506)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Brown
Monahan
P1
51.4%
51.0%
P2
54.6%
51.7%
P3
58.8%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 17:19 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 17:31 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |