Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brown wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 54.6% vs Stützle 45.7% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 74.8%
Defensive zone
Brown 83.5%
Neutral zone
Stützle 50.2%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Brown
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Brown
Stützle
Last 5: Brown 2-3 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
3
Brown
Stützle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
2
0
Brown
Stützle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (726)
45.1% (2,308)
+11.4%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
54.9% (102)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (136)
47.7% (88)
+0.1%
On even strength, Brown has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Brown is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Brown shoots right. Stützle is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (998).
Home / Away
Brown
Stützle
Home
57.4% (364)
47.5% (1,285)
Away
53.6% (506)
43.4% (1,213)
By Period
Brown
Stützle
P1
51.4%
47.0%
P2
54.6%
45.3%
P3
58.8%
44.2%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |