Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Giles wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giles 43.4% vs McLeod 49.5% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 58.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 70.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 64.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Giles
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Giles
McLeod
Last 5: Giles 3-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giles
2
0
Giles
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Giles
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giles
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (107)
50.4% (3,376)
-13.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.7% (296)
-50.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
44.1% (644)
+5.9%
On power play, McLeod has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Giles is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Giles shoots right. McLeod is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,507).
Home / Away
Giles
McLeod
Home
44.2% (77)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
22.9% (35)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Giles
McLeod
P1
42.1%
50.8%
P2
32.6%
48.0%
P3
38.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giles
44.0%▲
37.5%
37.5%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Patrick Giles |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Patrick Giles |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 09:01 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Patrick Giles |