Scouting Report
Patrik Elias holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Jones wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 44.3% vs Elias 44.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 56.4%
Defensive zone
Jones 51.1%
Neutral zone
Jones 51.7%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Jones
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jones
Elias
Last 5: Jones 2-3 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
0
2
Jones
Elias
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jones
2
0
Jones
Elias
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
0
1
Jones
Elias
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (243)
44.7% (954)
-1.9%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
46.9% (196)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (41)
36.1% (180)
-2.0%
On power play, Jones has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Jones is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Jones shoots right. Elias is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Jones
Elias
Home
48.3% (149)
46.0% (692)
Away
36.6% (153)
42.2% (677)
By Period
Jones
Elias
P1
42.6%
40.7%
P2
48.3%
46.8%
P3
38.3%
44.0%
OT
28.6%
53.3%
Final 5 min
40.0%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
42.4%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 12, 2011 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |