Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Elias wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.7% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Elias leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 89.1%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 94.2%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 94.2%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 91.8%
8.2%
91.8%
Elias
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Elias
Getzlaf
Last 10: Elias 6-4 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
5
3
Elias
Getzlaf
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
2
0
Elias
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
5
2
Elias
Getzlaf
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (2,591)
49.6% (10,258)
-7.3%
Power Play
48.4% (405)
54.9% (1,381)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (367)
44.8% (1,055)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Elias is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Elias shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (9,181).
Home / Away
Elias
Getzlaf
Home
43.2% (1,683)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
41.7% (1,725)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Elias
Getzlaf
P1
41.1%
49.2%
P2
43.1%
50.4%
P3
43.0%
49.7%
OT
43.2%
49.1%
Final 5 min
40.3%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2015 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 15:17 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 10:59 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 3 | 10:47 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 1 | 07:04 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 17, 2012 | OT | 01:10 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 09:01 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 02:04 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |