Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Elias wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.7% vs Strome 44.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 52.2%
Defensive zone
Elias 50.4%
Neutral zone
Elias 50.4%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Elias
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Elias
Strome
Last 8: Elias 4-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
2
1
Elias
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Elias
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Elias
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (2,591)
44.2% (6,887)
-1.9%
Power Play
48.4% (405)
49.2% (855)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (367)
41.5% (410)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Elias is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Elias shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Home / Away
Elias
Strome
Home
43.2% (1,683)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
41.7% (1,725)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Elias
Strome
P1
41.1%
43.9%
P2
43.1%
45.4%
P3
43.0%
44.4%
OT
43.2%
46.3%
Final 5 min
40.3%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 10:23 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |