Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Elias wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.7% vs Monahan 51.2% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 11-0 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 87.2%
Defensive zone
Elias 81.9%
Neutral zone
Elias 87.5%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Elias
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
11
(11 meetings)
0
11
Elias
Monahan
Last 10: Elias 0-10 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
8
Elias
Monahan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Elias
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (2,591)
51.1% (11,407)
-8.8%
Power Play
48.4% (405)
53.6% (2,582)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (367)
45.9% (772)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Elias shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Elias
Monahan
Home
43.2% (1,683)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
41.7% (1,725)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Elias
Monahan
P1
41.1%
51.0%
P2
43.1%
51.7%
P3
43.0%
51.0%
OT
43.2%
53.5%
Final 5 min
40.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2015 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 17:38 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |