Patrik Elias vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Elias wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.7% vs Girgensons 45.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 76.0%
Defensive zone
Elias 59.7%
Neutral zone
Elias 64.0%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Elias
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Elias
Girgensons
Last 7: Elias 2-5 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Elias
Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
0
Elias
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
4
Elias
Girgensons
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (2,591)
45.5% (2,718)
-3.2%
Power Play
48.4% (405)
49.1% (175)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (367)
42.2% (483)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Elias shoots left. Girgensons is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,078).
Home / Away
Elias
Girgensons
Home
43.2% (1,683)
45.5% (1,693)
Away
41.7% (1,725)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Elias
Girgensons
P1
41.1%
45.8%
P2
43.1%
44.1%
P3
43.0%
45.7%
OT
43.2%
52.5%
Final 5 min
40.3%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |