Scouting Report
Paul Byron holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Byron wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byron 40.6% vs Buchnevich 36.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byron 53.6%
Defensive zone
Byron 70.5%
Neutral zone
Byron 67.7%
Result
Paul Byron favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Byron
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Byron
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byron
1
0
Byron
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byron
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (399)
34.5% (931)
+6.1%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
44.2% (52)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
26.2% (84)
24.3% (37)
+1.9%
On power play, Byron has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Byron is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Byron shoots left. Buchnevich is 33.5% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Byron
Buchnevich
Home
41.7% (235)
35.6% (517)
Away
36.2% (268)
33.6% (503)
By Period
Byron
Buchnevich
P1
31.9%
35.2%
P2
46.5%
34.8%
P3
35.3%
33.4%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.6%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byron
54.0%▲
41.0%
38.8%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 03:01 | Defensive | Paul Byron |