Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 15 meetings). Gaustad wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.6% vs Crosby 53.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 22-21 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 91.2%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 79.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 59.3%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Gaustad
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
22
(43 meetings)
21
22
Gaustad
Crosby
Last 10: Gaustad 8-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
14
Gaustad
Crosby
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
16
5
Gaustad
Crosby
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
3
Gaustad
Crosby
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (4,334)
52.8% (18,031)
+5.4%
Power Play
65.4% (188)
57.4% (4,741)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (1,290)
47.0% (766)
+7.8%
On power play, Gaustad has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Gaustad shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,886).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Crosby
Home
59.5% (2,929)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
55.9% (2,897)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
Gaustad
Crosby
P1
58.2%
53.6%
P2
56.4%
53.8%
P3
58.3%
53.3%
OT
66.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
57.8%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 12:27 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 2 | 09:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 1 | 19:23 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 09:06 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |