Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Gaustad wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Selanne shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.6% vs Selanne 47.4% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Selanne 77.7%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 91.6%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 86.9%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Gaustad
Selanne
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Gaustad
Selanne
Last 10: Gaustad 7-3 Selanne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Selanne
0
3
Gaustad
Selanne
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
7
0
Gaustad
Selanne
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Selanne
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (4,334)
46.7% (480)
+11.5%
Power Play
65.4% (188)
48.5% (305)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (1,290)
0.0% (2)
+54.8%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +54.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Selanne shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Gaustad shoots left. Selanne is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Selanne
Home
59.5% (2,929)
47.8% (414)
Away
55.9% (2,897)
46.3% (378)
By Period
Gaustad
Selanne
P1
58.2%
45.6%
P2
56.4%
45.9%
P3
58.3%
50.6%
OT
66.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Selanne
36.0%▼
46.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |