Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Penner wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Penner 44.6% vs Stastny 53.0% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Penner 72.8%
Defensive zone
Penner 69.0%
Neutral zone
Penner 69.2%
Result
Dustin Penner favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Penner
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Penner
Stastny
Last 7: Penner 2-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Penner
2
1
Penner
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Penner
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Penner
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Penner
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (151)
52.2% (1,107)
-11.1%
Power Play
50.0% (92)
61.0% (254)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (59)
46.4% (138)
-10.8%
On even strength, Stastny has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Penner is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (197).
Penner shoots left. Stastny is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,059).
Home / Away
Penner
Stastny
Home
47.5% (158)
52.5% (785)
Away
37.8% (148)
53.9% (739)
By Period
Penner
Stastny
P1
38.1%
51.3%
P2
36.2%
55.2%
P3
54.7%
52.6%
OT
27.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
42.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2010 | OT | 04:23 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Dec 30, 2010 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |