Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Franzen 50.2% vs Stastny 53.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Franzen 66.1%
Defensive zone
Franzen 56.4%
Neutral zone
Franzen 65.5%
Result
Johan Franzen favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Franzen
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Franzen
Stastny
Last 7: Franzen 1-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Franzen
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Franzen
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Franzen
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Franzen
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (106)
52.2% (1,107)
-0.3%
Power Play
48.7% (39)
61.0% (254)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
46.4% (138)
-46.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Franzen is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Franzen shoots left. Stastny is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,059).
Home / Away
Franzen
Stastny
Home
54.3% (81)
52.5% (785)
Away
45.5% (66)
53.9% (739)
By Period
Franzen
Stastny
P1
61.4%
51.3%
P2
47.5%
55.2%
P3
44.2%
52.6%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2011 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |