Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jooris wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jooris 45.9% vs Stastny 55.6% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jooris 68.6%
Defensive zone
Jooris 72.9%
Neutral zone
Jooris 70.5%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Jooris
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Jooris
Stastny
Last 8: Jooris 2-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Jooris
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
1
0
Jooris
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Jooris
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jooris
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (194)
56.5% (967)
-8.6%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
58.4% (125)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
30.5% (59)
50.8% (128)
-20.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Jooris is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (175).
Jooris shoots right. Stastny is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Home / Away
Jooris
Stastny
Home
43.4% (152)
56.8% (590)
Away
45.7% (105)
55.4% (630)
By Period
Jooris
Stastny
P1
42.4%
59.7%
P2
42.2%
54.8%
P3
49.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
50.9%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 16:06 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |