Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stastny wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Rakell 44.8% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 71.1%
Defensive zone
Stastny 87.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 80.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Stastny
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Stastny
Rakell
Last 10: Stastny 7-3 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stastny
Rakell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
1
Stastny
Rakell
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stastny
Rakell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
44.2% (1,886)
+10.4%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
50.2% (203)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
21.7% (23)
+31.2%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Stastny shoots left. Rakell is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,344).
Home / Away
Stastny
Rakell
Home
55.9% (7,073)
46.6% (1,055)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
42.4% (1,058)
By Period
Stastny
Rakell
P1
56.3%
45.6%
P2
55.4%
41.9%
P3
53.5%
46.1%
OT
62.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Rakell
38.0%▲
35.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 1 | 03:01 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 10:11 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 02:59 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |