Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Sheahan 47.5% (+9.6%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 76.8%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 78.9%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 53.6%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Stastny
Sheahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (370)
50.7% (357)
+8.5%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
50.0% (8)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (58)
40.2% (194)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Stastny shoots left. Sheahan is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Stastny
Sheahan
Home
57.7% (215)
44.8% (248)
Away
55.6% (257)
48.9% (311)
By Period
Stastny
Sheahan
P1
57.7%
46.2%
P2
54.2%
50.5%
P3
57.7%
44.7%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.0%