Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 59.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 56.3% vs Thomas 52.7% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 65.5%
Defensive zone
Thomas 50.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 50.6%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Stastny
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Stastny
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Stastny
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (412)
53.6% (924)
+3.9%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
55.2% (181)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
44.0% (116)
+0.4%
On power play, Stastny has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Stastny shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Stastny
Thomas
Home
58.3% (276)
53.6% (606)
Away
56.7% (210)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Stastny
Thomas
P1
63.7%
48.2%
P2
57.3%
55.3%
P3
50.4%
55.2%
Final 5 min
56.0%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Thomas
36.0%▼
50.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |