Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Strome 45.0% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 55.7%
Defensive zone
Strome 57.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 51.5%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Stastny
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Stastny
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Stastny
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (370)
44.1% (749)
+15.1%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
46.2% (52)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (58)
52.9% (17)
-1.2%
On even strength, Stastny has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Stastny shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Stastny
Strome
Home
57.7% (215)
45.1% (441)
Away
55.6% (257)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Stastny
Strome
P1
57.7%
42.9%
P2
54.2%
44.4%
P3
57.7%
45.8%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |