Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 52.1% vs Koivu 51.2% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 64.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 51.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 54.6%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Stastny
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Stastny
Koivu
Last 9: Stastny 6-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
2
Stastny
Koivu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
1
Stastny
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (588)
52.5% (631)
-1.5%
Power Play
60.6% (104)
49.3% (73)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (89)
47.6% (147)
+4.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Stastny is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Stastny shoots left. Koivu is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Stastny
Koivu
Home
54.0% (400)
51.3% (431)
Away
50.7% (381)
51.4% (420)
By Period
Stastny
Koivu
P1
57.8%
51.9%
P2
52.5%
52.9%
P3
47.5%
49.8%
OT
41.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2013 | OT | 01:08 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 09:42 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |