Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 20 meetings). Stastny wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Koivu 51.8% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 30-24 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 79.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 58.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 63.7%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Stastny
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
24
(54 meetings)
30
24
Stastny
Koivu
Last 10: Stastny 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
15
5
Stastny
Koivu
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
6
8
Stastny
Koivu
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
9
11
Stastny
Koivu
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
51.9% (3,221)
+2.7%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
59.3% (437)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
48.0% (764)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Stastny shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Stastny
Koivu
Home
55.9% (7,073)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Stastny
Koivu
P1
56.3%
51.1%
P2
55.4%
52.6%
P3
53.5%
51.8%
OT
62.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2014 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 00:47 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 2, 2013 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 24, 2013 | OT | 01:08 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 09:42 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |