Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Laughton on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Stastny wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Laughton 50.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Laughton leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Laughton 61.9%
Defensive zone
Laughton 83.1%
Neutral zone
Laughton 69.4%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
Stastny
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Stastny
Laughton
Last 10: Stastny 4-6 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Stastny
Laughton
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
2
5
Stastny
Laughton
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laughton
3
4
Stastny
Laughton
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
50.8% (5,416)
+3.8%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
53.0% (330)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
46.7% (892)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Stastny shoots left. Laughton is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,362).
Home / Away
Stastny
Laughton
Home
55.9% (7,073)
51.2% (3,267)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
49.6% (3,371)
By Period
Stastny
Laughton
P1
56.3%
49.3%
P2
55.4%
53.0%
P3
53.5%
49.0%
OT
62.9%
39.6%
Final 5 min
55.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:07 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 12:47 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:48 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 17:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |