Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stastny wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Aho 52.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Stastny
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Stastny
Aho
Last 10: Stastny 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
1
Stastny
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
2
Stastny
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stastny
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (370)
51.6% (819)
+7.6%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
58.4% (173)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (58)
46.3% (67)
+5.4%
On power play, Aho has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Stastny shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Stastny
Aho
Home
57.7% (215)
53.9% (568)
Away
55.6% (257)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Stastny
Aho
P1
57.7%
55.4%
P2
54.2%
51.2%
P3
57.7%
50.9%
OT
60.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
57.5%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 06:00 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:13 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 18:21 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |