Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Stastny wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Blueger 50.0% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 92.1%
Defensive zone
Blueger 52.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 72.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Stastny
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Stastny
Blueger
Last 10: Stastny 4-6 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
8
0
Stastny
Blueger
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
5
Stastny
Blueger
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
3
Stastny
Blueger
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
52.2% (3,582)
+2.4%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
50.6% (77)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
42.7% (1,103)
+10.2%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Stastny shoots left. Blueger is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,231).
Home / Away
Stastny
Blueger
Home
55.9% (7,073)
51.3% (2,426)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
48.5% (2,336)
By Period
Stastny
Blueger
P1
56.3%
49.2%
P2
55.4%
52.2%
P3
53.5%
48.6%
OT
62.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:07 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 09:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |