Paul Stastny vs Tomas Hertl

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 54.3%). Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Stastny wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stastny 55.1% vs Hertl 54.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor Hertl leads 17-12 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone Hertl 55.6%
Defensive zone Hertl 51.9%
Neutral zone Hertl 52.1%
Result Tomas Hertl favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Stastny Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
12 - 17 (29 meetings)
12
17
Stastny Hertl
Last 10: Stastny 4-6 Hertl

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Stastny Hertl
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
5
Stastny Hertl
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
6
Stastny Hertl
9 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stastny
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
53.9% (8,303)
+0.7%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
59.2% (1,995)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
46.3% (806)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +6.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Stastny shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Stastny
Hertl
Home
55.9% (7,073)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Stastny
Hertl
P1
56.3%
53.6%
P2
55.4%
54.2%
P3
53.5%
55.3%
OT
62.9%
46.9%
Final 5 min
55.7%
54.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%
55.5%
55.1%
Hertl
66.0%
61.0%
54.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Oct 30, 2021 3 06:47 Offensive Paul Stastny
Oct 16, 2021 2 12:37 Neutral Tomas Hertl
Oct 16, 2021 2 08:02 Neutral Tomas Hertl
Dec 22, 2019 3 14:29 Defensive Paul Stastny
Dec 22, 2019 3 10:04 Offensive Tomas Hertl
Oct 4, 2019 2 18:12 Offensive Paul Stastny
Oct 2, 2019 2 10:14 Offensive Tomas Hertl
Oct 2, 2019 1 19:25 Defensive Paul Stastny
Mar 18, 2019 3 15:02 Defensive Tomas Hertl
Mar 18, 2019 3 05:00 Offensive Tomas Hertl
Mar 18, 2019 3 04:55 Offensive Tomas Hertl
Mar 18, 2019 3 00:43 Neutral Tomas Hertl
Mar 18, 2019 2 03:26 Offensive Paul Stastny
Mar 18, 2019 2 03:23 Defensive Paul Stastny
Mar 18, 2019 1 18:10 Defensive Tomas Hertl
Mar 18, 2019 1 06:24 Defensive Tomas Hertl
Mar 18, 2019 1 03:37 Neutral Tomas Hertl
Mar 18, 2019 1 00:30 Neutral Tomas Hertl
Jan 10, 2019 3 05:39 Offensive Paul Stastny
Jan 10, 2019 3 05:37 Defensive Tomas Hertl