Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Buchnevich wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 43.3% vs Hartman 45.6% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 51.5%
Defensive zone
Hartman 70.8%
Neutral zone
Hartman 60.4%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Buchnevich
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Buchnevich
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
0
Buchnevich
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
40.5% (190)
45.1% (874)
-4.6%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
47.4% (95)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
37.5% (16)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Buchnevich is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Buchnevich shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Hartman
Home
40.7% (118)
45.0% (515)
Away
39.6% (96)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Buchnevich
Hartman
P1
42.3%
47.3%
P2
37.5%
40.1%
P3
40.3%
48.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
40.2%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 03:37 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |