Pavel Buchnevich vs Shane Wright
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Shane Wright holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Buchnevich wins 36.8% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 36.0% vs Wright 43.3% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Buchnevich leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Wright 62.3%
Defensive zone
Wright 68.0%
Neutral zone
Wright 65.6%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Buchnevich
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Buchnevich
Wright
Last 10: Buchnevich 6-4 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
2
3
Buchnevich
Wright
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
4
2
Buchnevich
Wright
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Buchnevich
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (931)
42.7% (1,326)
-8.2%
Power Play
44.2% (52)
45.1% (133)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
24.3% (37)
33.3% (6)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Wright has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.8% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Buchnevich shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Wright
Home
35.6% (517)
44.2% (746)
Away
33.6% (503)
41.4% (719)
By Period
Buchnevich
Wright
P1
35.2%
44.5%
P2
34.8%
40.5%
P3
33.4%
44.0%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
38.2%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
34.6%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 01:33 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |