Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Zacha 49.2% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 59.4%
Defensive zone
Norris 70.0%
Neutral zone
Norris 70.3%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Norris
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
7
(23 meetings)
16
7
Norris
Zacha
Last 10: Norris 6-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
5
Norris
Zacha
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
7
0
Norris
Zacha
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
6
2
Norris
Zacha
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,089)
48.9% (5,156)
+3.6%
Power Play
53.4% (412)
55.7% (813)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
42.2% (557)
+3.2%
On even strength, Norris has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,419).
Norris shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Norris
Zacha
Home
53.1% (1,896)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Norris
Zacha
P1
55.5%
49.9%
P2
51.5%
49.2%
P3
50.1%
48.2%
OT
39.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
53.3%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:41 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 07:09 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Josh Norris |