Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kunin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 50.3% vs Zacha 51.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 52.0%
Defensive zone
Kunin 56.5%
Neutral zone
Kunin 56.1%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Kunin
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kunin
Zacha
Last 7: Kunin 3-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
3
Kunin
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kunin
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (305)
53.0% (700)
-1.5%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
54.1% (109)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
39.2% (74)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Kunin has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kunin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Kunin shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Kunin
Zacha
Home
50.0% (178)
51.6% (438)
Away
50.8% (193)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Kunin
Zacha
P1
53.0%
57.0%
P2
53.8%
48.9%
P3
44.1%
50.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.4%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:02 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |