Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Zacha 49.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 17-7 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 62.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 53.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 59.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Jankowski
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
17
(24 meetings)
7
17
Jankowski
Zacha
Last 10: Jankowski 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
7
Jankowski
Zacha
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
9
Jankowski
Zacha
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,490)
48.9% (5,156)
+2.6%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
55.7% (813)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (534)
42.2% (557)
+0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,549).
Jankowski shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Zacha
Home
51.8% (1,961)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
49.1% (2,158)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Jankowski
Zacha
P1
49.8%
49.9%
P2
51.1%
49.2%
P3
50.3%
48.2%
OT
20.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
52.7%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 05:30 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 01:33 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |