Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.6% vs Zacha 51.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 51.8%
Defensive zone
Zacha 64.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Domi
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Domi
Zacha
Last 5: Domi 3-2 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
1
0
Domi
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (297)
53.0% (700)
-3.2%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
54.1% (109)
+5.9%
On power play, Domi has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Domi is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Domi shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Domi
Zacha
Home
51.1% (184)
51.6% (438)
Away
50.3% (143)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Domi
Zacha
P1
45.9%
57.0%
P2
51.8%
48.9%
P3
55.1%
50.5%
OT
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
39.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 10:48 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |