Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.0%). Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Zacha 51.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 51.1%
Defensive zone
Zacha 50.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Zibanejad
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Zibanejad
Zacha
Last 7: Zibanejad 2-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
4
Zibanejad
Zacha
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
53.0% (700)
+0.3%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
54.1% (109)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
39.2% (74)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Zibanejad shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Zacha
Home
49.8% (466)
51.6% (438)
Away
54.0% (530)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Zibanejad
Zacha
P1
52.9%
57.0%
P2
51.2%
48.9%
P3
51.7%
50.5%
OT
60.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
57.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |