Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.8% vs Suter 48.3% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 80.4%
Defensive zone
Zacha 72.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 65.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Zacha
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Zacha
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Suter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (700)
49.7% (372)
+3.3%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
47.4% (19)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
39.8% (83)
-0.6%
On power play, Zacha has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Zacha shoots left. Suter is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Zacha
Suter
Home
51.6% (438)
47.1% (242)
Away
52.4% (445)
48.7% (232)
By Period
Zacha
Suter
P1
57.0%
48.2%
P2
48.9%
47.7%
P3
50.5%
48.8%
OT
42.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 16:35 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |