Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.2% vs Rakell 44.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 70.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 91.9%
Neutral zone
Zacha 78.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Zacha
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Zacha
Rakell
Last 10: Zacha 6-4 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
1
Zacha
Rakell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
0
Zacha
Rakell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
5
3
Zacha
Rakell
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,156)
44.3% (1,879)
+4.6%
Power Play
55.7% (813)
50.2% (203)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (557)
21.7% (23)
+20.5%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Zacha shoots left. Rakell is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,341).
Home / Away
Zacha
Rakell
Home
49.7% (3,381)
46.6% (1,055)
Away
48.6% (3,145)
42.5% (1,051)
By Period
Zacha
Rakell
P1
49.9%
45.6%
P2
49.2%
42.0%
P3
48.2%
46.2%
OT
53.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Rakell
42.0%▲
35.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 12:23 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 15:40 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |