Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.2%). Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.8% vs Thomas 51.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 51.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 59.2%
Neutral zone
Thomas 52.0%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Zacha
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Zacha
Thomas
Last 9: Zacha 2-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Zacha
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
3
Zacha
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Zacha
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (700)
50.3% (652)
+2.7%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
61.5% (104)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
54.2% (120)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Zacha shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Zacha
Thomas
Home
51.6% (438)
52.0% (400)
Away
52.4% (445)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Zacha
Thomas
P1
57.0%
49.6%
P2
48.9%
55.4%
P3
50.5%
51.0%
OT
42.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:25 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |